Introduction
Morgan Stanley has cut its view on Coinbase. Coinbase is a big company where people buy and sell crypto. Crypto means digital money, like Bitcoin. Morgan Stanley is a big bank. It now rates Coinbase as underweight. That is a simple way to say it thinks the stock may do worse than other stocks.
What Happened
Morgan Stanley cut Coinbase from equal-weight to underweight. Equal-weight means about the same as other stocks. Underweight means less good than other stocks. It also cut its price target from $258 to $120. A price target is a guess about what a stock could be worth later. That cut is 53%. That is more than half. Analyst Michael Cyprys wrote the note on Monday, November 2, 2026. He said, “Confidence in the earnings recovery has deteriorated.” Earnings mean the money a company makes. Recovery means getting better after a weak time.
Why It Happened
Crypto trading has been slow. People are trading less. That hurts Coinbase. Coinbase makes much of its money from fees when people trade. Fees are small charges for a service. When trading is slow, those fees fall. Morgan Stanley also worries about the future. It cut its 2027 revenue guess by 28%. Revenue means money coming in. It cut its 2027 adjusted EBITDA guess by 47%. EBITDA is a simple way to look at profit before some costs. For 2028, it cut revenue by 18% and adjusted EBITDA by 25%. It now expects $2.4 billion in normalized EBITDA in 2028. That is about 14% below 2025. It also cut the value it puts on that profit from 20 times to 12 times.
The downgrade came after a weak third quarter. Coinbase reported $1.22 billion in revenue last Thursday. That was down 35% from a year earlier. Transaction revenue fell 44% to $590 million. Subscription and services revenue fell 20% to $570 million. Crypto trading volume fell 10% in the quarter. Price swings were also very small.
Key figures:
Old price target: $258. New price target: $120. Cut: 53%. Old rating: equal-weight. New rating: underweight. Shares in early trading: down 2.3% to $140.25. Fall last week: 10%. Third-quarter revenue: $1.22 billion, down 35% from a year earlier.
Why It Matters
A downgrade can change how people see a stock. It does not mean the company will fail. It means one big bank is less sure about it now. Coinbase still runs a large crypto exchange. But its main business depends on trading. When trading is quiet, money comes in more slowly. That is why this news matters to people who follow crypto stocks.
What Happens Next
People will watch trading activity. If more people start trading again, revenue could improve. People will also watch the next earnings report. Earnings will show if the slow time is ending. Morgan Stanley will watch the same things. Its $120 target is a guess, not a promise.
Final Thoughts
This is a cautious note, not a disaster story. Coinbase had a soft quarter. Morgan Stanley now expects a slower recovery. The next few months will show if that view is right. For more on Coinbase’s last quarter, see our earlier post on Coinbase’s $719 million profit.
Disclaimer: This article is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Sources: CNBC, “Coinbase stock downgraded by Morgan Stanley to underweight” (November 2, 2026), https://www.cnbc.com/2026/11/02/coinbase-stock-morgan-stanley-downgrade.html ; CoinDesk, “Morgan Stanley downgrades Coinbase (COIN), slashes price target 53% on weak earnings outlook” (November 2, 2026), https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2026/11/02/morgan-stanley-downgrades-coinbase-slashes-price-target-53-on-weak-earnings-outlook






